Bitcoin vs. Silver: Why My Crypto Crash Prediction Isn't Just "Pump and Dump" And Silver Will Win Again In 2026

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As this year wraps up, it’s time to prepare for 2026 and some key market trends that have taken place right before our eyes, in the past few weeks, are only going to intensify next year.

First among those trends is the failure of Bitcoin to act as a safe haven this year, as the US dollar has slowly declined in value, market volatility increased this Fall in the stock market, and the emergence of precious metals again as the real safe havens of the financial system, typified by the explosive rally in the price of silver, as silver has now broken above $60 an ounce. Bitcoin gurus claimed this is the exact backdrop that would make it go up in price, but all it has done is dump instead.

As this year began, Bitcoin was the rage among small investors in the United States as many piled into new Bitcoin ETF’s in 2024 on the premise that the claims and predictions made by crypto gurus for future price gains would come true. Those gurus claimed Bitcoin would go to $100,00 and then $1,000,0000.

As the price indeed rallied to $100,000 their predictions seemed to be real and so the masses chased the price action and piled in.

Then when Trump won the Presidential race in 2024 there was the feeling that he would legitimize crypto after he was sworn in, which would bring more buyers into it. Once he got in office the Trump family launched their own meme coins to take advantage of the moment and he got the SEC to proclaim that they would not regulate crypto like they do stocks and other normal financial assets, giving unsavory elements the green light to launch countless meme coin pump and dump operations and for Bitcoin price manipulation among “whales” to remain legal.

But the price peaked soon peaked out and ever since then Bitcoin has been badly lagging the stock market, as you can see from this chart, with the Bitcoin/SPX relative strength ratio on the bottom of it.